Fri, 09 Oct 2026 15:35:50 +0000 Fri, 09 Oct 2026 15:35:50 +0000 National Hurricane Center - Wind Speed Probabilities for Eastern North Pacific wallet 3 https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ none nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster) en-us nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster) https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/xml_logo_nhc.gif https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ NOAA logo 95 45 000
FOPZ13 KNHC 091455
PWSEP3

TROPICAL STORM RACHEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026
1500 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RACHEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

S CATALINA IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
SAN DIEGO CA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

TIJUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)

ENSENADA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 44(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
ENSENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ENSENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) 39(39) 12(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
IS GUADALUPE 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
IS GUADALUPE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

25N 120W 34 X 44(44) 16(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
25N 120W 50 X 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
25N 120W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

30N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER KELLY]]> Fri, 09 Oct 2026 14:56:06 +0000 https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAPWSEP3.shtml 202610091456 nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster)