Fri, 09 Oct 2026 14:27:36 +0000 Fri, 09 Oct 2026 14:27:36 +0000 National Hurricane Center - Wind Speed Probabilities for Eastern North Pacific wallet 5 https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ none nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster) en-us nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster) https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/xml_logo_nhc.gif https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ NOAA logo 95 45 000
FOPZ15 KNHC 090846
PWSEP5

HURRICANE SIMON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
0900 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)

ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) 4(41) 1(42)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) 1(15)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)

MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 24(34) 2(36)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13)
MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)

SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 60(61) 7(68) 1(69)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 5(33) X(33)
SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) X(16)

P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 59(64) 1(65) X(65)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 1(32) X(32)
P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15)

15N 105W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 41(49) 28(77) 1(78) X(78)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 24(44) X(44) X(44)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 18(29) X(29) X(29)

MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 24(24) 42(66) 15(81) X(81) X(81)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 25(29) 15(44) X(44) X(44)
MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 11(26) X(26) 1(27)

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS]]> Fri, 09 Oct 2026 08:46:30 +0000 https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAPWSEP5.shtml 202610090846 nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster)