Fri, 09 Oct 2026 15:35:32 +0000 Fri, 09 Oct 2026 15:35:32 +0000 National Hurricane Center - Forecast/Advisory for Eastern North Pacific wallet 5 https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ none nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster) en-us nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster) https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/xml_logo_nhc.gif https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ NOAA logo 95 45 WTPZ25 KNHC 091446
TCMEP5

HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
1500 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.7W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.7W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 104.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.5N 104.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.2N 104.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.2N 105.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.4N 105.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.7N 105.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.9N 105.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 0SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 23.6N 106.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 24.9N 106.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 104.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 09/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

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FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY]]> Fri, 09 Oct 2026 14:47:02 +0000 https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml 202610091447 nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster)